South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e072e7dd5eec09de0c13819c95f899f9ac85bc8186312601380ba04b4fc756d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 78c | 2,049$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.49 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 1,896$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 1,267$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 57c | 639.16$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.23 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 620.91$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 467.46$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 34c | 429.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 303.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 17c | 299$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 292.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 230.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 212.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 46c | 191.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 54c | 189.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 165.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 149.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 135.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 46c | 97.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 71.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d9cabacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…4239backed Under | 72c | 40.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40bd…c4ebbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 52c | 37.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 44c | 35.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 45c | 33.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 44c | 29.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 23.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 55c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Under | 55c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)Recoleta FC won
- Spread: Recoleta FC (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.