South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e9b72a0d798b210a029aa5e7617b31e439d3476237b7652091cd106f700bd5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 62c | 3,235$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 2,657$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.72 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,256$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 1,253$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 605.69$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 259.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 211$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 63c | 179.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 38c | 110.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 37c | 72.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 69.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 69.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 37c | 32.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 41c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…37e2backed Yes | 37c | 28.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed No | 60c | 19.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 61c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)Recoleta FC won
- Spread: Recoleta FC (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.