South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2534c357a73dcd0d22a45087fa6423a04dc10738254787dfd6d385d6c1b2c856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Recoleta FCof CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, Recoleta FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 42c | 65,527$27,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,498.08 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 14,640$8,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.81 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 13,987$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,874.61 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 13,932$8,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,851.44 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 2,623$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.75 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 1,027$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.27 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 673.74$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 460$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 43c | 346.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Recoleta FC | 59c | 334.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 318.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 297.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Recoleta FC | 57c | 237$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Recoleta FC | 59c | 204.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 203.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 9c | 202.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 192.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Recoleta FC | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 42c | 182.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 152.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 111.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Recoleta FC | 59c | 111.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Recoleta FC | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 83.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 65.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 53.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Recoleta FC | 60c | 49.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 43.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 35.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Recoleta FC | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Recoleta FC | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Recoleta FC | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Recoleta FC (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.