Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae87ad21bdb69325fc270f1b85cc5ac2473ab08a5fe899c268e4da82297460f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 21c | 2,348$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.68 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 79c | 1,365$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 21c | 799.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 45c | 759.85$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 20c | 425.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Under | 79c | 380.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 312$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 22c | 229.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…894fbacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 22c | 101.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…c6bdbacked Over | 22c | 91.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 63c | 57.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 35c | 43.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 75c | 35.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.