Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a258f314eeb00baf8fda6c1d3da5c08a02871504503ac8bb2e7b937bb9c4997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd525…1815backed Under | 0c | 22,743$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 136 | 32.4%44 W · 92 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.98 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 54c | 1,207$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.43 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 55c | 1,047$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.27 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 56c | 1,003$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 55c | 831.26$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Under | 45c | 444.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 75c | 375.16$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 6c | 247.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 56c | 177.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 18c | 149$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 11c | 133.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 43c | 127.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 108.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…3d22backed Under | 46c | 105.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 43c | 103.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…3a15backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…7dcabacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…90bfbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 57c | 87.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Over | 70c | 71.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 63.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…38e5backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Over | 73c | 49.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Over | 55c | 45.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Over | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Under | 45c | 36.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 34.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 55c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…31f5backed Over | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.