CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b8375ccdd3ffc603f0e78b5b1b09c6ff29e6e2d9ec5d93d1bb8ed486df581a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 66c | 1,465$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 1,168$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.03 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 66c | 963.98$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.06 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 33c | 634.71$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over | 34c | 511$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 36c | 496.03$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Over | 35c | 291.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 36c | 190.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 36c | 166.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Over | 33c | 142.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Under | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over | 34c | 82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 34c | 72.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 64c | 61.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 32c | 58.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Over | 33c | 44.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 68c | 41.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Under | 68c | 25.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Fluxo (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group BFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Fluxo - Map 1 WinnerFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Fluxo - Map 2 WinnerFluxo won
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)Fluxo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.