CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Fluxo (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5294cc3882c1d10e6432ccd4bb1b764281bbd6a59e92d265698fcbc252677b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxoof Game Hunters, Fluxo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6185…2965backed Game Hunters | 16c | 4,879$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Game Hunters | 17c | 1,736$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Game Hunters | 14c | 1,367$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Game Hunters | 16c | 1,333$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.31 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Game Hunters | 14c | 1,319$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Game Hunters | 22c | 1,206$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Game Hunters | 20c | 1,200$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Game Hunters | 18c | 1,094$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Game Hunters | 18c | 1,002$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed Game Hunters | 15c | 779$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Game Hunters | 16c | 640.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Game Hunters | 20c | 612$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Game Hunters | 17c | 593.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Game Hunters | 19c | 560.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Game Hunters | 19c | 530$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Game Hunters | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Game Hunters | 18c | 503.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Game Hunters | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Game Hunters | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Game Hunters | 18c | 480.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Game Hunters | 19c | 419.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Game Hunters | 19c | 389.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Game Hunters | 14c | 376.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Game Hunters | 15c | 326.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Game Hunters | 17c | 319.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Game Hunters | 19c | 308$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Game Hunters | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo | 78c | 288.9$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Game Hunters | 18c | 272.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…ffe0backed Game Hunters | 16c | 251.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Game Hunters | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Game Hunters | 15c | 237.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Game Hunters | 21c | 213.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Game Hunters | 20c | 201.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Game Hunters | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Game Hunters | 14c | 172.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Game Hunters | 18c | 170.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo | 78c | 164$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Game Hunters | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Game Hunters | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Game Hunters | 18c | 126.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…5ad8backed Game Hunters | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Fluxo | 80c | 96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Game Hunters | 17c | 95.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Game Hunters | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Game Hunters | 19c | 92.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Game Hunters | 15c | 83.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…158ebacked Game Hunters | 17c | 81.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Game Hunters | 20c | 77.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Game Hunters | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fluxo | 78c | 64.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed Fluxo | 79c | 23.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Fluxo (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Fluxo - Map 1 WinnerFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Fluxo - Map 2 WinnerFluxo won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)Fluxo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.