TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuxi: Fajing Sun vs Rio Noguchi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rio Noguchiof Fajing Sun, Rio Noguchi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rio Noguchi43c6,792$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.2880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fajing Sun38c4,997$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.647,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Fajing Sun60c4,620$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75020459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Rio Noguchi53c4,387$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.664,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rio Noguchi44c4,059$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.9611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Fajing Sun57c3,495$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99279855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rio Noguchi50c2,890$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rio Noguchi54c2,736$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.376,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Rio Noguchi52c2,168$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.844,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Fajing Sun34c1,783$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.884,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Fajing Sun57c1,719$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.5915850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Fajing Sun46c1,713$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.072,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Fajing Sun56c1,606$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006041.7%25 W · 35 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Fajing Sun55c1,475$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.8158639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rio Noguchi42c1,233$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.228,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fajing Sun39c1,211$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47254345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Rio Noguchi43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.5535932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0625…5801backed Fajing Sun63c1,160$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Fajing Sun57c882.21$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Rio Noguchi45c812.61$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.948241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa838…bccebacked Fajing Sun70c714.28$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006264.5%40 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Rio Noguchi49c668.51$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.511,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Rio Noguchi45c668.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.261,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Rio Noguchi45c666.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.891,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Fajing Sun44c666.7$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.949749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Rio Noguchi44c655.3$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8750340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Fajing Sun59c595.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016063.8%102 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5283…b53cbacked Fajing Sun38c574.8$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Fajing Sun11c550$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5969438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Fajing Sun55c531.79$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Rio Noguchi44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.992,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Fajing Sun57c486.59$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.361,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fajing Sun54c475.34$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.384,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Rio Noguchi45c450.48$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.581,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Rio Noguchi54c438.29$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.235,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fajing Sun41c405.29$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.559,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Fajing Sun26c394$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1562140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Fajing Sun48c390$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.261924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fajing Sun52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.27,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Rio Noguchi44c378$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.687,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fajing Sun52c369$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.884,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0e…5e62backed Fajing Sun56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Fajing Sun57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Fajing Sun39c350$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3545445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Fajing Sun9c347.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1217617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Rio Noguchi45c320.91$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.624858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fajing Sun51c314$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.74,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Fajing Sun52c307.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6880341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Fajing Sun44c297.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13024463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fajing Sun43c271.16$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Rio Noguchi37c270.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8554744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Fajing Sun68c236.41$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9956070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Rio Noguchi43c232.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+50.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Fajing Sun54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Fajing Sun60c217.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017957.5%103 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Rio Noguchi73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4837071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Fajing Sun56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Rio Noguchi43c196.36$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.081,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Rio Noguchi43c187.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.691,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Fajing Sun75c166.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Rio Noguchi57c157$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.272,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Rio Noguchi67c155$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.433956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Fajing Sun55c154.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fajing Sun35c150.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.327,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Fajing Sun27c149.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6737645.7%172 W · 204 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Rio Noguchi57c148.52$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.864,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Rio Noguchi55c140.01$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.376,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Fajing Sun54c135.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0996755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Fajing Sun31c134$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.884332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Rio Noguchi44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rio Noguchi48c119$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.883,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Rio Noguchi45c116.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.871,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Fajing Sun57c116.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4130150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fajing Sun51c108$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.085,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Rio Noguchi45c102.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.281,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Fajing Sun60c102.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4694549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Rio Noguchi46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Rio Noguchi44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Rio Noguchi42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Rio Noguchi56c99.21$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.236933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rio Noguchi50c96.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.843,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Fajing Sun56c92.66$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8426047.3%123 W · 137 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Rio Noguchi45c92.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5516258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Fajing Sun56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Fajing Sun57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Rio Noguchi44c86.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.362,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Fajing Sun53c84.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e35…fe8cbacked Fajing Sun55c82.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.514252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Rio Noguchi44c80.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.611,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Rio Noguchi65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9236264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Rio Noguchi65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+39.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Rio Noguchi40c74.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5115332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed1…18a8backed Rio Noguchi50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613256.1%74 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fajing Sun51c70.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.358,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Fajing Sun57c70.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Rio Noguchi43c69.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.767,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f10…c244backed Rio Noguchi46c69.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Fajing Sun53c68.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.182,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Fajing Sun26c68.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.781,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rio Noguchi38c68.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.396,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.