TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Liam Draxl vs Emilio Nava

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emilio Navaof Liam Draxl, Emilio Nava
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Liam Draxl20c6,182$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.7711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Liam Draxl25c5,028$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.0712146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Liam Draxl23c3,638$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.388,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Liam Draxl34c2,792$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.2854345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Liam Draxl22c2,294$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.924,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed Emilio Nava78c2,261$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.972975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Liam Draxl25c1,596$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.565,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Emilio Nava66c1,389$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.344,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Draxl34c1,315$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.786,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Emilio Nava74c1,282$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4862140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Emilio Nava75c1,050$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6226049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liam Draxl26c1,033$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.147,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f0…0a1bbacked Emilio Nava65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Emilio Nava69c921.46$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.658,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Liam Draxl28c917.29$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5728835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Emilio Nava64c798.2$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4827931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Liam Draxl25c789.16$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.932,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Emilio Nava73c787.39$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.251662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfc…521fbacked Emilio Nava80c698.12$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.121573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Emilio Nava72c610$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.84,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Emilio Nava73c545.18$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.961,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Emilio Nava76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3250458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Liam Draxl30c437.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308235.4%29 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Emilio Nava74c436.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.272,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Emilio Nava78c384.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.462,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Liam Draxl35c358.71$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.034,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Liam Draxl24c350.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.23,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Emilio Nava74c318.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.074,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Emilio Nava74c316.46$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.314,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Emilio Nava65c301.35$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.492,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Liam Draxl22c270.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1619241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Emilio Nava74c232.91$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Liam Draxl31c217.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.766,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Emilio Nava68c183.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9143067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Liam Draxl30c167.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Liam Draxl30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Emilio Nava71c140.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.921,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Liam Draxl22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Emilio Nava75c133.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6284968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765e…b9bbbacked Liam Draxl22c132.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Emilio Nava78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.215853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Emilio Nava64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3830235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Liam Draxl25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Emilio Nava72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2856062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Liam Draxl24c96.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1450340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Liam Draxl24c95.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.242,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Emilio Nava73c90$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.322,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Liam Draxl21c85.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8551736.9%191 W · 326 L-39.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Emilio Nava78c75.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.733462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Emilio Nava78c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Emilio Nava80c74.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.156341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Emilio Nava78c73$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.876,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Emilio Nava69c68.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.116869.1%47 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Emilio Nava71c65.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7674346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Emilio Nava77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Liam Draxl24c64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3627549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Liam Draxl19c62.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Liam Draxl25c62.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2637156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Emilio Nava76c62.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.223,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liam Draxl26c61.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.083,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Liam Draxl37c59.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.942,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Emilio Nava76c57.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8938262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Emilio Nava77c56.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Liam Draxl29c50.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.764755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Emilio Nava75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Liam Draxl25c49.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4118551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Liam Draxl25c49.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4119548.2%94 W · 101 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Liam Draxl25c49.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.418252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Liam Draxl25c49.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.418139.5%32 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Liam Draxl25c49.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4118148.1%87 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Emilio Nava65c49.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.267178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Emilio Nava76c44.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.552,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa9e…2264backed Liam Draxl29c44.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.772445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Emilio Nava74c44.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5859954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Emilio Nava74c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Emilio Nava74c40.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5450958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Liam Draxl26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Liam Draxl25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa580…0b4cbacked Liam Draxl25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Liam Draxl25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Emilio Nava73c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Emilio Nava71c34.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed Emilio Nava71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1728265.6%185 W · 97 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x547d…ea58backed Emilio Nava79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35560%33 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Emilio Nava74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Emilio Nava72c18.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.197,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Emilio Nava76c15.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.792,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Emilio Nava75c14.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.741,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Emilio Nava77c14.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2758665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Emilio Nava75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.525858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2edc…40debacked Emilio Nava80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.