TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa580…0b4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,107.6%+$165.26
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.72
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.36
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$27.13
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.61
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.66
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.38
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+36%+$8.29
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+210.1%+$56.24
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$60.26
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$20.15
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.64
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+225.4%+$43.94
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$18.25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$25.19
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.24
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Play-Inbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$12.35
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+178.7%+$71.26
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$10.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+197.4%+$27.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.58
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$4.98
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$15.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-79.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+114.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+150.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+160.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+207.8%+$41.18
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$16.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$18.3
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$7.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$15.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.