Lol · resolved market
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd40dff5a76731585c8c84fe0d78bed88fc91d761c1ffd5e72a64f88ae6c9f375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frites Esports Clubof Frites Esports Club, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed mCon esports | 6c | 6,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed mCon esports | 6c | 5,050$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed mCon esports | 7c | 4,970$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.04 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed mCon esports | 6c | 2,703$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed mCon esports | 7c | 1,558$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked mCon esports | 10c | 1,494$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed mCon esports | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked mCon esports | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed mCon esports | 6c | 546.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed mCon esports | 4c | 359.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed mCon esports | 9c | 338.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed mCon esports | 5c | 314$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c65…eed3backed mCon esports | 10c | 148.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed mCon esports | 59c | 23.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5)Frites Esports Club won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.