Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbec28e8cd1ff07c65cd413d7618bcc581a6a290118acc2ff83c19f809cf0787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 44c | 4,724$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.21 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Over | 56c | 2,193$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.2 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 44c | 1,873$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.74 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 56c | 854.16$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.25 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 56c | 695$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.46 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 56c | 591.43$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Over | 57c | 574.14$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 55c | 550$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 56c | 467.28$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.68 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 56c | 233.64$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 56c | 233.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 47c | 214.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 56c | 201.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 45c | 176$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 56c | 175.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…3b05backed Under | 46c | 150.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 53c | 145.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 54c | 123.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 56c | 101.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Over | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 44c | 86.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 56c | 83.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 50c | 78.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 55c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Over | 25c | 57.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 53c | 52.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…d424backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 28c | 41.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 400 | 31.3%125 W · 275 L | -28.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 64c | 27.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 45c | 27.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…cd85backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 58c | 21.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming Academy (+1.5)paiN Gaming Academy won
- Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs paiN Gaming Academy (+2.5)paiN Gaming Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffspaiN Gaming Academy won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming Academy won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming Academy won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 3 WinnerpaiN Gaming Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.