TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiN Gaming Academyof Estral Esports, paiN Gaming Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Estral Esports38c3,333$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.5451044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked paiN Gaming Academy57c2,056$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.311655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Estral Esports69c1,750$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.971,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Estral Esports2c1,206$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1254824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked paiN Gaming Academy48c1,191$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.3819743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Gaming Academy29c1,161$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.352,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN Gaming Academy62c1,109$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.692,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Estral Esports1c1,020$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.815920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed paiN Gaming Academy52c1,008$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.721,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78db…a291backed Estral Esports72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72010745.8%49 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked paiN Gaming Academy60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Estral Esports50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011145%50 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked paiN Gaming Academy52c875.6$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.646258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Estral Esports70c853.07$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.151,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Estral Esports63c776.8$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.764247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Estral Esports45c693.02$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.562,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed paiN Gaming Academy32c627.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.21,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed paiN Gaming Academy37c523.69$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33237957.5%218 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Estral Esports41c499.97$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6833125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed paiN Gaming Academy49c458.67$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2378043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Estral Esports70c456.65$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.221,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed paiN Gaming Academy28c438.83$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.931,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked Estral Esports69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed paiN Gaming Academy44c433.09$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9318254.9%100 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked paiN Gaming Academy68c431.72$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.894551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x828b…a13fbacked Estral Esports54c371.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010450%52 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Estral Esports70c360$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25296250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Estral Esports74c339.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25039266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Estral Esports75c333.73$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked paiN Gaming Academy59c325.9$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.221,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked paiN Gaming Academy30c320.12$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0824445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed paiN Gaming Academy30c320.12$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0816942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce12…814fbacked Estral Esports63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked paiN Gaming Academy43c307.13$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.641,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed paiN Gaming Academy54c284.65$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9274462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked paiN Gaming Academy58c266.3$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0540231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN Gaming Academy61c250.06$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.333,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked paiN Gaming Academy30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1756443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Estral Esports80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027465.7%180 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Estral Esports51c249.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4995048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Estral Esports60c249.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…5e2ebacked Estral Esports43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013060.8%79 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked paiN Gaming Academy44c230$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.45143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Estral Esports27c225.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.051,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed paiN Gaming Academy59c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.750646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Estral Esports44c206$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.71,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Estral Esports31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6223943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed paiN Gaming Academy29c199.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Estral Esports71c199.86$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.91,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked paiN Gaming Academy30c197.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.237633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Estral Esports41c196.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed paiN Gaming Academy35c193.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.523057.8%133 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Estral Esports69c186.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.332,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Estral Esports56c179.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.261,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Estral Esports50c172.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2875150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed paiN Gaming Academy30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6732142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Estral Esports54c162.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.041,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked paiN Gaming Academy30c161.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.94314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Estral Esports52c154.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2247453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked paiN Gaming Academy26c151.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.131,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x981f…b63fbacked paiN Gaming Academy27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1516846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed Estral Esports75c133.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed paiN Gaming Academy31c126.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2813137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Estral Esports45c120.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4224251.7%125 W · 117 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Estral Esports43c116.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Estral Esports60c112$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.217757.6%102 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Estral Esports51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6250145.7%229 W · 272 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Estral Esports47c110.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.762,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked Estral Esports47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.75745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Estral Esports35c105$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7580150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked paiN Gaming Academy44c102.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5211329.2%33 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4719…8d69backed paiN Gaming Academy56c102.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked paiN Gaming Academy55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4563646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked paiN Gaming Academy15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Estral Esports31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121242%89 W · 123 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Estral Esports71c99.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9444451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN Gaming Academy49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.231,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Estral Esports44c93.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2953829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea7e…2c67backed paiN Gaming Academy50c89.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7145051.6%232 W · 218 L+24.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked paiN Gaming Academy55c88.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8818756.7%106 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed paiN Gaming Academy30c87.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7757349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a8…2539backed Estral Esports80c87.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Estral Esports31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6660738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Estral Esports55c83.21$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6215731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed Estral Esports62c81.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9323748.5%115 W · 122 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38ba…6eccbacked paiN Gaming Academy62c80.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc4…e2b9backed Estral Esports49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.215045.3%68 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466b…7fd3backed paiN Gaming Academy42c76.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.679255.4%51 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked paiN Gaming Academy45c75.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.698637.2%32 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked paiN Gaming Academy58c72.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2810251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Estral Esports51c72.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7848747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed paiN Gaming Academy30c71.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3864451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Estral Esports46c71.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6823751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed paiN Gaming Academy44c70.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.427544%33 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3073…3413backed paiN Gaming Academy30c66.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9318960.3%114 W · 75 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94e3…5d42backed paiN Gaming Academy37c66.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6712100%12 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Estral Esports47c65.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.951,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Estral Esports55c63.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7228250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6e…b14abacked Estral Esports47c62.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked Estral Esports19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45219.2%10 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.