Euroleague · resolved market
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Fujian Sturgeons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e99d00d674a97a3cb99ef120ac73e81c3ba697ae336db600e147189354c502c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Flying Leopardsof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Fujian Sturgeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 7,661$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.28 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 7,375$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 13c | 4,343$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.17 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 3,146$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 2,039$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.41 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 29c | 1,961$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.2 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 22c | 1,550$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fujian Sturgeons | 8c | 1,463$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 1,396$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fujian Sturgeons | 23c | 1,289$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.66 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 1,179$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 35c | 900.3$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fujian Sturgeons | 12c | 744.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Fujian Sturgeons | 6c | 723.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fujian Sturgeons | 6c | 697.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Fujian Sturgeons | 7c | 648.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 644.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…2cd0backed Fujian Sturgeons | 5c | 555.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 488.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 442.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fujian Sturgeons | 20c | 416.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 404.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Fujian Sturgeons | 4c | 395.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 342.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 10c | 328.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 317.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…e639backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 296.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 294.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 286.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 271.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Fujian Sturgeons | 12c | 270$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 263.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 245$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 225.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fujian Sturgeons | 24c | 216.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…baccbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 5c | 205.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Fujian Sturgeons | 6c | 204.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 175.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 161.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fujian Sturgeons | 17c | 161.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 140.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 54c | 133.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 127.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Fujian Sturgeons | 23c | 118.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 11c | 112.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 111.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Fujian Sturgeons | 11c | 107.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Fujian Sturgeons | 33c | 105.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Fujian Sturgeons | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 91.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 60c | 79.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…2f14backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 78c | 77.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Fujian Sturgeons | 22c | 77.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 77.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Fujian Sturgeons | 22c | 67.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 23c | 62.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 59.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Fujian Sturgeons | 20c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Fujian Sturgeons | 40c | 49.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Fujian Sturgeons | 24c | 47.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…4776backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…4cf6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 30.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 78c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 68c | 17.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…6864backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.