NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb56fbb1f85a64c9012bb9af34745933a2aecc516f49220f2e1cce73a23290dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 4,486$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.48 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers | 55c | 4,442$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.06 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 55c | 3,251$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 2,110$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.4 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.71 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 844.64$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Rangers | 56c | 536$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers | 55c | 507.19$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Rangers | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rangers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Rangers | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Rangers | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rangers | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets | 45c | 132$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Rangers | 55c | 99.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Rangers | 56c | 62.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Rangers | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Rangers | 56c | 36.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Blue Jackets | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Rangers | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Rangers | 38c | 26.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Rangers | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.