NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cdda15e479d546e0dcaa4f245caedde4cb48c78622bfcab15cc152bfff2c0d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,238 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 57c | 4,754$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.39 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 44c | 2,977$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 1,528$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 57c | 745.77$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 43c | 726.09$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.22 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 512$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 57c | 488$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.84 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 400.01$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 67c | 345$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 44c | 296.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 43c | 128.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 124.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 79.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 44c | 79.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 42c | 74.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 61.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Under | 44c | 48.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Under | 36c | 27.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 56c | 21.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5this page
- Rangers vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.