NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0f69cd98db5adcadd3639463b01b435bab77eda5897318358f9c29a54f2ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42e8…5a82backed Under | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…3420backed Under | 74c | 248$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…2aeebacked Under | 74c | 230$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d15…5175backed Under | 74c | 216$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…d2ccbacked Under | 74c | 213$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9743…8375backed Under | 74c | 172$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…97cdbacked Over | 26c | 172$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…dc4ebacked Over | 26c | 164$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e8…a619backed Under | 74c | 163$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 67c | 151.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3782…6e25backed Over | 26c | 151$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cd68backed Over | 26c | 143$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…3aa8backed Under | 74c | 141$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…840fbacked Over | 26c | 137$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…6515backed Over | 26c | 136$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…4404backed Over | 26c | 132$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…3dc2backed Over | 26c | 129$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 71c | 125.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x022f…2cf6backed Over | 26c | 97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc1…3e17backed Over | 26c | 96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…e094backed Over | 26c | 95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…1888backed Over | 26c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b5…2eecbacked Over | 26c | 84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad9…a138backed Over | 26c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…0217backed Under | 74c | 74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Under | 76c | 28.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 17.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5this page
- Rangers vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.