Euroleague · resolved market
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Zhejiang Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51bef6e4e507fc39e7d9450d550ee37081c74f75cb4d284c03b1a30abf94fab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Lionsof Jiangsu Dragons, Zhejiang Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,473 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 2,535$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 2,071$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.57 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 1,710$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 1,512$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 1,276$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Jiangsu Dragons | 17c | 1,040$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 8c | 867.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jiangsu Dragons | 17c | 840$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 824$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 769$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Jiangsu Dragons | 10c | 753.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…32ecbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 729$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 687.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 621.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 472.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 11c | 409.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jiangsu Dragons | 9c | 403.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…552cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 398.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…e5babacked Jiangsu Dragons | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Jiangsu Dragons | 17c | 296.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 266$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 232.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zhejiang Lions | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 203.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…93a1backed Jiangsu Dragons | 23c | 193.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zhejiang Lions | 66c | 147$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Jiangsu Dragons | 30c | 145.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 136$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jiangsu Dragons | 24c | 92.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Jiangsu Dragons | 17c | 86.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…5456backed Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 73.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Zhejiang Lions | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Zhejiang Lions | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Zhejiang Lions | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Zhejiang Lions | 69c | 20.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.