CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e59a157466e79736d8b8aa573850ac53dfae2ad785b69cbad953ffa3e5f66f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,495 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Game Hunters | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 2,628$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.78 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Game Hunters | 36c | 881.53$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Game Hunters | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Game Hunters | 37c | 593.91$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 481$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Game Hunters | 43c | 466$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Game Hunters | 42c | 417.55$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Fake do Biru | 56c | 388.24$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Game Hunters | 42c | 206$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 177.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Game Hunters | 22c | 158.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Game Hunters | 26c | 128$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Game Hunters | 24c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fake do Biru | 77c | 111.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Game Hunters | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Fake do Biru | 78c | 75.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Game Hunters | 43c | 72.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Game Hunters | 41c | 67.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Game Hunters | 42c | 63.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Game Hunters | 44c | 53.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Fake do Biru | 75c | 43.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Game Hunters | 28c | 41.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 74c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Game Hunters | 46c | 36.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Game Hunters | 41c | 31.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Game Hunters | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerGame Hunters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.