Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb18355b5f87e18fbbd315c544857abc2d6aa24141ae92907f2d5385912a0218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,250 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 2,646$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 30c | 1,248$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.66 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed No | 49c | 1,092$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 51c | 1,082$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.93 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 46c | 199.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e2…2401backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 124.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 45c | 60.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 50c | 50.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 47.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 48c | 41.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 39.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 54c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 32.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 50c | 27.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.