Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5f528b1027bb5d3c3a3e3c52f9f955d07f5cc68706c96f16f948df6104f81da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita State Shockersof Wichita State Shockers, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 2,637$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.24 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 1c | 1,564$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 7c | 989.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 897.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 736.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UTSA Roadrunners | 6c | 712.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 513.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673b…62dbbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 405.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…035bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 7c | 384.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…23d7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 7c | 349.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…4b84backed UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 249.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 9c | 149.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Wichita State Shockers | 79c | 28.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA Roadrunnersthis page
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 149.5Over won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.