Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32330ef7d801fd07741ab5722df74f411dd7f3cd7a264fca52fceae26bf02629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 59c | 5,931$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.26 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 41c | 4,019$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.28 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 47c | 3,198$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.3 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 54c | 1,636$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.88 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 1,516$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.65 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 1,022$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 41c | 883.49$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.26 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 59c | 842.78$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 791.02$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.81 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 412.84$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 51c | 310.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 52c | 213.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 163.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 161.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 48c | 117.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 41c | 111.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 47c | 65.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 57.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 51.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 54c | 43.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 47c | 27.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 149.5this page
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA RoadrunnersWichita State Shockers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.