Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf8060239f29d61efcc75eb6d85aa42d2b9274b1c2cce5ada457f2db84e9071f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,111 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 4,995$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.29 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,699$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 746.16$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 610.94$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.58 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 598.72$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 550.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 317.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 231.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 201.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…09c9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 50c | 158.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 51c | 102.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 49c | 102.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 68c | 87.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 48c | 80.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Over | 46c | 79.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Under | 52c | 76.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 68.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1a5ebacked Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 40.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 47c | 38.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 50c | 29.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 29.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 55c | 28.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 51c | 26.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 22.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 63c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Under | 66c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 151.5this page
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-3.5)Tulane Green Wave won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis TigersTulane Green Wave won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.