TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Army Black Knights vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Army Black Knightsof Army Black Knights, Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x294a…bbbabacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Army Black Knights70c1,937$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.641,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds66c1,473$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.2937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds15c1,424$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds43c1,280$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Army Black Knights75c1,260$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.341,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Army Black Knights53c1,229$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.311,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds29c1,159$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.485,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds65c951.31$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.781,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds5c890.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.724,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Army Black Knights35c712.5$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1337142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds6c652$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds67c641$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.426342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Army Black Knights71c472.74$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.932,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds31c460.69$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0370936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Army Black Knights77c439$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.151,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Army Black Knights34c423$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.181,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Army Black Knights35c399.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0210846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds66c381.08$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.512123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds23c346.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.823,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Army Black Knights34c338.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Army Black Knights33c312.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds68c309.95$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds26c300.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.611,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Army Black Knights34c294.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8914325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Army Black Knights34c252$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds33c246.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Army Black Knights58c206.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.625162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Army Black Knights35c200$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1311,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Army Black Knights76c188.32$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Army Black Knights32c165$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.052,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Army Black Knights32c156$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0831647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Army Black Knights80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3052353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Army Black Knights33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.513743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c2…3fc7backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds15c125$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Army Black Knights34c124.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.315052%26 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Army Black Knights35c94.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1242339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Army Black Knights32c91.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3493941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Army Black Knights70c91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.314451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Army Black Knights33c87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.292,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds66c83.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5523363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds66c83.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7447…1480backed Army Black Knights35c81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.651225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds32c80.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.841,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de3…5671backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds17c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.461338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Army Black Knights35c76.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.922,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds37c76.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8934943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Army Black Knights76c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d3…0d2abacked Army Black Knights35c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Army Black Knights34c62.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.569338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3964658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Army Black Knights33c43.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Army Black Knights35c36.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Army Black Knights32c32.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ce…7b28backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds67c25.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds45c25.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5629954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Army Black Knights65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.752,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c2…940fbacked Army Black Knights60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Army Black Knights73c20.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4114171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Army Black Knights68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.451,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Army Black Knights50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.