Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army Black Knights vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b4e6d5b6124b05c6dac88280f4018da0747f4d00f5f287e4381c4ff958e0d44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 45,000$22,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,050 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,050 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 55c | 10,020$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.94 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 46c | 4,341$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 53c | 1,888$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.76 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 1,249$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 246.71$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…377cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 59c | 130.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 41c | 86.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 52.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 54c | 48.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Over | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 58c | 38.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 27.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army Black Knights vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: O/U 147.5this page
- Army Black Knights vs. Loyola Maryland GreyhoundsArmy Black Knights won
- Army Black Knights vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: O/U 148.5Over won
- Army Black Knights vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (-4.5)Army Black Knights won
- Spread: Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (-5.5)Army Black Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.