Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Boss Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90108c492d2e7f6de3cd903faa2b314deabef7fee11d75a5f9f29ef8041552e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 56c | 1,260$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.91 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 62c | 996.81$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.02 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe560…11f0backed Yes | 40c | 951.76$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 37c | 848.65$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 63c | 848.65$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…57bfbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 40c | 447.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 68c | 388.15$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 60c | 379.74$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 39c | 370.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 39c | 256.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 60c | 251.39$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 50c | 238.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…1d25backed Yes | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 219.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…d80ebacked No | 51c | 206.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 64c | 203.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 50c | 200.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes | 37c | 200.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 59c | 161.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 58c | 134.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Yes | 29c | 102.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…1116backed Yes | 31c | 99.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 65c | 99.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 62c | 85.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 69c | 80.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 57c | 63.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 37c | 59.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fa…c2acbacked Yes | 35c | 51.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…0b7abacked Yes | 35c | 47.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 44c | 44.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…13f5backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…7990backed Yes | 33c | 36.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 52c | 33.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked No | 77c | 32.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Boss Open?this page
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 Boss Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Boss Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Boss Open?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.