Tennis · resolved market
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Boss Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1b4b6f61bceff2210c5c9faa7f21e6ffd95ffc3b4bb2cc7bc8763bf66a23b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 72c | 630.1$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 49c | 493.45$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.87 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 71c | 426.22$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 30c | 309.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Yes | 43c | 187.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 52c | 91.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked No | 30c | 90.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…f7edbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 76c | 27.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Boss Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Boss Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 Boss Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Boss Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.