TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d2a…ca37backed Wild46c4,359$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Avalanche54c2,938$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.9735545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche70c2,314$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.5631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche55c1,265$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.771,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Wild1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Wild30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche57c755.73$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…98d0backed Avalanche59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild39c499.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.431,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Wild42c494.25$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Wild47c426.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Wild40c401.02$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1428842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Wild45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Avalanche60c370.44$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4423761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Avalanche55c335.9$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.159153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild25c318.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a33…43babacked Wild47c221.7$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1c…bff3backed Avalanche55c221.64$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0be…fdafbacked Wild47c219.18$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…08d0backed Avalanche55c219.13$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche53c210.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche69c210$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild46c204.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild41c199.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Wild45c199.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9713953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wild11c175.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.497450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Wild30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Avalanche70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Wild33c149.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed Avalanche55c148.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.81540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Avalanche54c139.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3762944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Avalanche55c137.29$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.784045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34a…59d3backed Wild32c114.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche54c110.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Wild47c104.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Avalanche59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6915456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Wild26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Wild42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Wild28c99.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64cc…ad9dbacked Wild43c95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Avalanche56c89.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.324266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche59c75.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9673157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3f…c91ebacked Avalanche56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Avalanche57c70.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Avalanche70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2117054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Wild29c69.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205334%18 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8472…1955backed Wild45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa568…6987backed Wild46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Wild46c64.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Avalanche56c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Wild44c55.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5641851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Avalanche55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.557659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche71c54.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04fd…3930backed Avalanche57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4eb…161fbacked Wild45c48.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa228…632cbacked Wild41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…280dbacked Avalanche57c48.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wild44c47.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc3…8067backed Avalanche55c42.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+73.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab4c…6227backed Wild45c42.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda8…3c72backed Avalanche55c42.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ee…f98ebacked Wild42c40.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…da74backed Avalanche58c40.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b0…2d65backed Avalanche56c39.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0986…390dbacked Wild46c39.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09c9…4613backed Wild47c37.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd723…66ecbacked Wild45c37.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2066…617cbacked Avalanche55c36.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4af2…4a6fbacked Avalanche57c35.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…9297backed Wild42c34.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e7…3b36backed Wild46c34.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd5…a8cfbacked Wild45c34.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d58…5faebacked Avalanche55c34.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8021…31cfbacked Wild45c33.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85ed…2e53backed Avalanche56c31.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf983…1ae2backed Wild45c31.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5e…782cbacked Wild46c30.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9cf…313abacked Avalanche55c30.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x892e…5127backed Wild46c30.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Avalanche58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0cf…4a3dbacked Avalanche56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb9…0e56backed Wild44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.41per pick49cpaid-81.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x204a…c510backed Wild46c29.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebe…a314backed Avalanche54c29.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd0…ba6abacked Wild45c29.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658f…9354backed Avalanche55c29.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bf…cdcfbacked Avalanche57c29.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x259c…6e33backed Avalanche55c29.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f79…fa0cbacked Wild46c28.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31cb…f2c2backed Avalanche55c28.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…e31abacked Wild47c27.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe121…d2bbbacked Wild44c27.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8581…d1c2backed Wild46c27.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ecc…e341backed Avalanche53c27.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f9…5d32backed Avalanche55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.275453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.