MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0d4fcc82470dd4df7bd499a61027e616225a8302bffc98aa1374e02f595c902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $535,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $652,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cardinals | 44c | 138,072$60,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,320.2 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Reds | 56c | 54,515$30,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,528.4 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Reds | 56c | 52,398$29,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,342.89 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 58c | 48,034$27,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,805.39 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 66c | 27,314$17,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,385.48 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Reds | 56c | 20,898$11,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,702.67 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals | 45c | 15,705$7,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,658.9 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 43c | 13,468$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,671.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 44c | 12,508$5,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,003.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Reds | 27c | 11,631$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.25 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 55c | 10,817$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.55 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 46c | 9,987$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.64 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 46c | 9,921$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.12 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 54c | 8,656$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.96 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Cardinals | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.06 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 6,499$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 45c | 6,351$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.98 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 44c | 4,433$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.48 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 47c | 4,316$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 55c | 2,749$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 56c | 2,725$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.25 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 57c | 2,362$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.29 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 2,303$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.71 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 47c | 2,290$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 2,176$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cardinals | 40c | 2,136$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,099$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.41 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Cardinals | 52c | 2,000$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,565$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Reds | 55c | 1,500$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.61 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 56c | 1,442$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.76 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…1be9backed Reds | 54c | 1,299$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Cardinals | 44c | 1,218$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.24 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Reds | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.88 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.57 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Reds | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 993$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.08 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 42c | 972$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cardinals | 62c | 904.91$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.38 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals | 45c | 877$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.61 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 56c | 850$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 38c | 832.67$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Reds | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Reds | 57c | 711.21$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.39 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Cardinals | 44c | 704$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Reds | 56c | 697.06$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 44c | 694$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.64 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 38c | 649.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.04 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Reds | 48c | 613.06$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.39 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 45c | 595.09$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.3 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Reds | 55c | 587.56$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.07 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 54c | 564.15$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 56c | 535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 44c | 510.55$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed Cardinals | 65c | 501.2$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 46c | 499.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 44c | 482$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.92 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Reds | 57c | 474.11$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Cardinals | 44c | 473.86$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 52c | 455.74$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 45c | 452$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.94 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 47c | 383$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Reds | 47c | 371.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Reds | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Reds | 57c | 351$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 37c | 350$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Cardinals | 44c | 338.27$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 57c | 326.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cardinals | 68c | 318$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Cardinals | 63c | 304$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Reds | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cardinals | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Reds | 52c | 299.15$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 63c | 294.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Reds | 52c | 281.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Cardinals | 60c | 268.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 265.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Cardinals | 63c | 246.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Reds | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 43c | 234.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Reds | 52c | 229.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Reds | 51c | 224.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 215$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Reds | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6dabbacked Cardinals | 44c | 204.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Redsthis page
- Cardinals vs. Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Reds (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.