MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64cb26408827dec9c5c4009ee2ae573ee2f766da4664aa73150dd7c4bdb85578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Pirates, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 48c | 44,091$21,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,163.83 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 52c | 18,952$9,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,096.96 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cardinals | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 49c | 9,389$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.54 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 48c | 8,590$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.78 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 54c | 8,237$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.27 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 48c | 7,369$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 6,702$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.77 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 49c | 6,622$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.91 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cardinals | 52c | 6,056$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.65 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Cardinals | 53c | 5,373$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.31 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 4,925$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.88 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 3,922$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.87 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Cardinals | 52c | 3,840$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 3,758$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.54 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Pirates | 48c | 3,530$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 58c | 3,128$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.88 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Cardinals | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 61c | 2,801$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Pirates | 48c | 2,279$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.08 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 42c | 2,245$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pirates | 48c | 2,145$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Cardinals | 52c | 2,099$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.34 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Pirates | 60c | 1,679$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,437$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,358$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.67 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…ec03backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…b4edbacked Pirates | 48c | 1,133$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…bf8bbacked Pirates | 48c | 1,117$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…81cfbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,104$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cardinals | 58c | 1,037$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.39 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pirates | 47c | 940$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 47c | 898.92$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.49 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cardinals | 40c | 868.44$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…ee4fbacked Pirates | 46c | 867.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cardinals | 52c | 846.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cardinals | 53c | 749.97$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.49 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 735$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.15 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Pirates | 55c | 626.06$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.81 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Pirates | 62c | 609.14$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 52c | 590.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pirates | 47c | 590$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 52c | 575.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.47 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Cardinals | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Pirates | 48c | 469$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Pirates | 53c | 468.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pirates | 4c | 451$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pirates | 45c | 444.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 43c | 442.37$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 52c | 416$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cardinals | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 48c | 393.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Pirates | 47c | 371.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.62 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 50c | 363$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 47c | 358$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked Cardinals | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates | 46c | 326$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 48c | 315$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Pirates | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…0379backed Cardinals | 53c | 312.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cardinals | 52c | 310$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…771cbacked Pirates | 46c | 310$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cardinals | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Cardinals | 62c | 295.41$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 291.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 42c | 287.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 38c | 264.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Cardinals | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 48c | 237.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Cardinals | 51c | 219.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Cardinals | 60c | 211.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Pirates | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Pirates | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Pirates vs. Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.