Will North Macedonia win on 2025-09-07?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x854d61a5122ede7c0baf3db05e1b8544a6c4de13d87ba4e87713346484f75230

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 7, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $277,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $217,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x48e3…c148backed No	4c	58,600$2,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,556	96	18.8%18 W · 78 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	5c	40,174$2,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,189.1	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No	6c	23,216$1,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,345	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	147	32%47 W · 100 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	6c	9,993$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.6	211	40.3%85 W · 126 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	4c	9,204$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.94	246	47.6%117 W · 129 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	5c	7,731$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.55	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	5c	7,649$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.45	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No	6c	7,500$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No	4c	6,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	236	22%52 W · 184 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	5c	6,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	6c	4,200$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	5c	3,993$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.47	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	5c	3,500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	6c	3,050$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No	5c	1,774$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.7	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	5c	1,600$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No	6c	1,560$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.96	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	65	40%26 W · 39 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked No	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	5c	450$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-13.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No	4c	400$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed No	5c	340$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	32cpaid	+31%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed No	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No	7c	143$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	789	27.5%217 W · 572 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked No	10c	101$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	36%18 W · 32 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will North Macedonia win on 2025-09-07?this page
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-09-07?No won
Will North Macedonia vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will North Macedonia win on 2025-09-07?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event