TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c40,000$15,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,413.0910952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes36c35,026$12,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,380.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No65c26,996$17,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,444.454351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No60c19,349$11,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,564.7224657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes68c17,253$11,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,585.392,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No58c9,799$5,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,668.7817543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No62c5,400$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35322551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes35c5,000$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.731233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No65c4,745$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.125240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3207945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No61c2,575$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.2233357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No41c2,538$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.8613754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c2,191$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.811,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No62c1,970$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.634261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No61c1,636$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.885848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes69c1,514$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-60.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No58c1,470$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.3138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No64c1,422$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.641850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No64c1,400$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8892560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No64c1,400$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8891428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No69c1,279$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No64c1,277$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.6328556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes35c1,256$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.642142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No17c1,007$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.920143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c955$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No64c934.14$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.085446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No61c931.68$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.773836.8%14 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes35c705$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.311832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes68c700$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes38c668.03$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.11070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c631$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2732843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes35c612.26$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.971650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No64c588$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.383860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No59c384.6$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.742839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes38c351.18$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.734825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes37c348.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.594330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19212540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No61c272$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.923053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No62c270.33$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.61729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-83.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No65c245.7$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7128458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No38c224.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes38c221.05$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes35c214.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.097450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No64c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes38c186$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.325635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No61c181.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.993540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No22c180$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62552%13 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes35c180$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1174930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No63c174.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes39c129.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes38c113$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.062254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No64c103$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2213152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes38c100.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.015754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c81.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.432540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No69c66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.544346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No61c64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0412452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.810339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9486…eecdbacked No63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51f0…c3bbbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x232e…df94backed Yes38c52.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5714740.8%60 W · 87 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.56953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No63c48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4417651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…4befbacked Yes38c47.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe407…1df9backed Yes34c44.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3517…8084backed Yes36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…4d25backed Yes37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes38c40.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.951361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes76c36.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.845267.3%35 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes38c28.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.951030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf9…c886backed Yes38c27.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No62c25.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.928558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x484f…28cbbacked No64c22.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.