WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs. Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6db09848574e47008f83dc1eae5ebfed50a56b42e8f0b23dc44c71f5dfc4eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Liberty, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Sky | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 13c | 8,042$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.54 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sky | 12c | 1,808$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Sky | 13c | 915$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Sky | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Sky | 10c | 672.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sky | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Sky | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Sky | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sky | 9c | 551$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Sky | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Sky | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Sky | 13c | 471.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Sky | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sky | 10c | 369.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Sky | 11c | 348.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 12c | 167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…b328backed Sky | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Sky | 11c | 120.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Sky | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Sky | 10c | 112.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sky | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Sky | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sky | 19c | 99.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked Liberty | 80c | 49.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…1d8dbacked Liberty | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.