WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs. Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x373e977bbd449c8c649175ac95fc31ca285b2d4c71077e2ac2b3a4018d141be9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Mystics, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Mystics | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 10c | 7,847$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.79 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mystics | 10c | 1,951$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Mystics | 11c | 1,775$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Mystics | 8c | 1,490$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mystics | 9c | 1,187$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 11c | 916.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Mystics | 9c | 850$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Mystics | 10c | 618$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Mystics | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Mystics | 10c | 409.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mystics | 10c | 381.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…e276backed Mystics | 11c | 278.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Mystics | 9c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mystics | 8c | 218.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Mystics | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mystics | 10c | 134.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mystics | 13c | 100.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.