College Football · resolved market
Duke vs. Tulane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a6075c56250acec5ec5d610e721bbcfd9fffacec078a1297880e044b52b237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulaneof Duke, Tulane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Duke | 48c | 66,564$32,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,206.54 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tulane | 51c | 19,452$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,531.37 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tulane | 52c | 19,044$9,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,212.66 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tulane | 53c | 17,554$9,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.54 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Duke | 19c | 13,523$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.54 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Tulane | 51c | 6,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Duke | 31c | 4,392$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.94 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tulane | 76c | 3,637$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.36 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulane | 59c | 2,083$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.26 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tulane | 53c | 1,237$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.8 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tulane | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Tulane | 51c | 900$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tulane | 52c | 896.6$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.99 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Tulane | 51c | 774$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Tulane | 79c | 742.13$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.25 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Duke | 42c | 610.53$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.42 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tulane | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Tulane | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Duke | 46c | 534.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tulane | 55c | 504.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tulane | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tulane | 76c | 420.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Tulane | 50c | 398.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Tulane | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Duke | 30c | 330.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Tulane | 53c | 327.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tulane | 75c | 326.02$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Tulane | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Duke | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Tulane | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Duke | 11c | 170$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Duke | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Duke | 48c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Duke | 12c | 134.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Tulane | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…0d7fbacked Tulane | 58c | 124.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…19cbbacked Tulane | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Duke | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Tulane | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Duke | 32c | 78.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Tulane | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tulane | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Duke | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…604abacked Tulane | 54c | 60.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…c9a5backed Duke | 48c | 59.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Tulane | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duke | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tulane | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tulane | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…8f46backed Duke | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…1193backed Tulane | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…f8efbacked Tulane | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f5…6905backed Duke | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Duke | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…7f0abacked Tulane | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…66f5backed Tulane | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Tulane | 50c | 26.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…05e0backed Duke | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…0437backed Tulane | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…2db8backed Tulane | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Tulane | 53c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Tulane | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Tulane | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tulane | 64c | 19.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.