WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs. Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30238d8465ad9f00801c452b6564c10412cbff33881635f6358fbb01bb5c08fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Storm, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb377…f621backed Lynx | 76c | 5,918$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Storm | 48c | 5,268$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Storm | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Storm | 23c | 4,600$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Lynx | 77c | 4,121$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 12c | 3,570$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.13 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Storm | 23c | 1,725$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.9 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Storm | 21c | 1,613$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.11 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lynx | 3c | 1,355$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Lynx | 77c | 1,080$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Storm | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lynx | 63c | 894.73$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.6 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lynx | 77c | 715$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lynx | 78c | 682.36$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.17 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lynx | 77c | 605$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.85 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0fddbacked Storm | 66c | 598.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Storm | 25c | 584.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.33 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Lynx | 77c | 562.1$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lynx | 77c | 547.67$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.05 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Storm | 21c | 512.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.51 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Storm | 22c | 463.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.58 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Storm | 38c | 458.31$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Storm | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Storm | 5c | 421.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Storm | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Storm | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Storm | 23c | 396.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.64 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lynx | 75c | 386.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Storm | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Storm | 23c | 357.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lynx | 34c | 341.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Lynx | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm | 45c | 258.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Lynx | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Lynx | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Storm | 23c | 215$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Storm | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Lynx | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Storm | 21c | 199.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…4e23backed Lynx | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Lynx | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Storm | 23c | 110$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Lynx | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Storm | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Lynx | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Storm | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…0c58backed Lynx | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Storm | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Storm | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Storm | 21c | 95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lynx | 76c | 84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Lynx | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Lynx | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Lynx | 45c | 61.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…79c7backed Storm | 34c | 60.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Lynx | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Storm | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Storm | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lynx | 78c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Lynx | 45c | 34.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Lynx | 65c | 33.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Lynx | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lynx | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lynx | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed Lynx | 78c | 15.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…fceebacked Lynx | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.