Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b0c9ca703075b55b7e30642c82688b8a91604a8b4108d6c248e7dc3963049bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 2c | 14,059$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.28 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7271…7b79backed Yes | 2c | 10,275$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…8c30backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…72a4backed Yes | 1c | 4,283$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,785$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 6c | 2,519$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Yes | 1c | 2,167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…6d5fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,702$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x091b…6396backed Yes | 2c | 1,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Yes | 2c | 1,363$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 50c | 1,069$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 58c | 800.72$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.41 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 6c | 789.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…5db1backed Yes | 2c | 770$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…9c42backed No | 32c | 741.85$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…fcdfbacked No | 14c | 543.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked No | 7c | 455.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.05 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…8dd2backed No | 14c | 328.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.36per pick | 19cpaid | +146%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 29c | 207.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 240 | 37.1%89 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 78c | 57.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 29c | 49.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 77c | 41.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 50c | 26.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 77c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 61c | 18.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Bayern" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Horrible" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Long ball" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Presence" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.