Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f4de13c2cf948c70d4c6d2b403ca137366469011715e285744602868f4c46e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, 2GAME Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 2GAME Esports | 30c | 1,719$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.7 | 226 | 49.1%111 W · 115 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 1,707$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.09 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 2GAME Esports | 40c | 1,507$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.84 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 1,192$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.82 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked 2GAME Esports | 30c | 1,056$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 782$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 553.93$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked 2GAME Esports | 7c | 533.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed 2GAME Esports | 38c | 444.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed 2GAME Esports | 9c | 415.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 2GAME Esports | 27c | 410$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 387.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed 2GAME Esports | 28c | 374.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 2GAME Esports | 23c | 306.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 276$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked 2GAME Esports | 43c | 211.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed 2GAME Esports | 41c | 208.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed 2GAME Esports | 40c | 196.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 2GAME Esports | 27c | 153.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 80c | 136$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 513 | 44.6%229 W · 284 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…7566backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 128.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed 2GAME Esports | 25c | 124.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked 2GAME Esports | 38c | 124.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 105.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 2GAME Esports | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 76.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 2GAME Esports | 48c | 68.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8eb…4952backed 2GAME Esports | 26c | 57.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed 2GAME Esports | 38c | 57.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 57.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…db19backed 2GAME Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…8adfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 46.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed 2GAME Esports | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 23.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs2GAME Esports won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winner2GAME Esports won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 3 Winner2GAME Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.