Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc877320e6080bdf3ddaa8e384b6bccb0eedd1c822660a8ed131f97412d15579c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 2GAME Esportsof Shopify Rebellion Black, 2GAME Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 1c | 1,741$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 3c | 445$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed 2GAME Esports | 34c | 177.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked 2GAME Esports | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…4009backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 17c | 115.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 2GAME Esports | 76c | 79.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 50.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed 2GAME Esports | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed 2GAME Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 38.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…8adfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 34.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs2GAME Esports won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winner2GAME Esports won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.