Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4438195e44def64e5067a81b9ad4e88b0e03b4b425479e58367421485e466921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 867.81$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 638.68$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.1 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 71c | 534.61$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.11 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 44c | 460.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 18c | 391.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 77c | 372.48$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 33c | 367.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 44c | 351.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 16c | 348.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.86 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 343.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…7126backed No | 58c | 329.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 10c | 319.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 314.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 40c | 295.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…013dbacked No | 76c | 223.7$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 32c | 205.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 37c | 140.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 36c | 132.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 45c | 128.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Yes | 63c | 124.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 56c | 123.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 63c | 118.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked No | 20c | 101.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 67c | 101.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 39c | 101.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 16c | 97.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 62c | 95.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 91.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 29c | 90.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 79c | 89.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 68c | 87.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 15c | 84.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 35c | 84.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 24c | 84.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 60c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 16c | 78.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 75c | 78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 60c | 76.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 57c | 75.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 75c | 73.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 41c | 70.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 50c | 66.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…89e6backed Yes | 38c | 65.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 62c | 57.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 66c | 57.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8270…d5cabacked Yes | 47c | 53.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 70c | 51.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 38c | 49.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…e48bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…ad70backed Yes | 42c | 47.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 134 | 11.9%16 W · 118 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 32c | 47.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 29c | 45.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 78c | 44.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 78c | 43.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 44c | 42.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 61c | 40.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…ef14backed No | 49c | 40.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 52c | 39.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21f…cf00backed No | 29c | 38.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc4…4d11backed Yes | 39c | 38.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 34.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 62c | 31.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked No | 37c | 31.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 64c | 30.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 29.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed No | 58c | 25.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 62c | 24.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 53c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed Yes | 55c | 24.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -17.1wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed No | 51c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 60c | 22.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 59c | 22.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…9f3cbacked No | 66c | 19.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 65c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…bbbebacked Yes | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 71c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 79c | 12.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.