MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02beb4a2cd7f9c3105dc07b9b59886b955f4065631019cf85207fdaba87b3b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,734,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,753,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,734,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Twins | 38c | 1,209,025$454,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754,774.74 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 62c | 577,435$358,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358,214.33 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Twins | 36c | 296,531$106,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,780.04 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Tigers | 63c | 295,278$185,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,144.63 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Tigers | 63c | 175,000$110,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,250 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers | 64c | 108,500$68,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,919.98 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Tigers | 62c | 90,154$56,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,267.75 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Tigers | 63c | 84,460$53,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,030.18 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers | 64c | 75,005$48,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,003.8 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Tigers | 64c | 27,813$17,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,800 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 62c | 23,553$14,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,602.86 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 41c | 19,902$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,742.2 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Tigers | 64c | 19,056$12,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,105.59 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers | 62c | 17,824$11,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,050.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 64c | 15,499$9,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.51 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins | 33c | 11,958$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,022.33 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers | 63c | 9,158$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.36 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Tigers | 60c | 8,514$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.82 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Twins | 40c | 7,782$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Tigers | 15c | 7,182$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.49 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 61c | 6,923$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Tigers | 57c | 6,593$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.19 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Tigers | 64c | 5,900$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 64c | 5,190$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Twins | 37c | 5,054$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.02 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 43c | 4,506$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Tigers | 63c | 3,720$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers | 45c | 3,514$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.11 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 2c | 3,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Tigers | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Twins | 37c | 2,777$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.41 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Twins | 46c | 2,732$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.44 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Tigers | 63c | 2,600$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…51c8backed Tigers | 65c | 2,328$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Tigers | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers | 64c | 2,303$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.92 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 37c | 2,029$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.85 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Twins | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…a7debacked Twins | 46c | 1,913$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Tigers | 60c | 1,634$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Tigers | 63c | 1,484$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Tigers | 55c | 1,338$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Twins | 40c | 1,305$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Tigers | 7c | 1,176$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Twins | 46c | 1,074$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.2 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Twins | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c83…9655backed Tigers | 54c | 969$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 44c | 951$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.56 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…21a8backed Tigers | 54c | 944$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Twins | 36c | 850$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Twins | 54c | 738.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.72 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 59c | 703.91$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Tigers | 2c | 695.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 44c | 612$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.72 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Twins | 35c | 599.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Twins | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 36c | 593.12$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Twins | 39c | 591$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 39c | 585.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.26 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 41c | 508.52$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 63c | 456.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 40c | 427.44$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Tigers | 25c | 404.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 42c | 402.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Tigers | 51c | 391.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 37c | 381.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 71c | 375$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Twins | 44c | 363$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 37c | 351$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Twins | 40c | 349.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Tigers | 64c | 313$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…add1backed Tigers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 38c | 298.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 45c | 277.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Twins | 38c | 276.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Twins | 37c | 274$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Twins | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers | 64c | 226.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa405…4788backed Tigers | 55c | 222.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Tigers | 63c | 201.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…ca51backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.