MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311bf175a2e88930b4ab0c131c51a0bb694c38bccbe671f6f91aa1b0a28671e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Reds, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $817,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $887,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Reds | 46c | 535,117$247,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,506.21 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cubs | 54c | 107,273$57,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,625.14 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 54c | 80,378$43,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,248.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cubs | 55c | 76,282$41,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,411.69 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 54c | 70,171$37,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,256.99 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Cubs | 53c | 64,703$34,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,410.42 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 55c | 40,000$21,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cubs | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 58c | 27,386$15,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,456.26 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Cubs | 61c | 16,139$9,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,248.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cubs | 54c | 15,768$8,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,253.28 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cubs | 53c | 15,737$8,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,396.36 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 29c | 13,561$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.7 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 68c | 12,061$8,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.61 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 54c | 10,291$5,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.2 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 54c | 9,200$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 14c | 7,837$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.91 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…0235backed Reds | 47c | 5,037$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 38c | 5,027$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 48c | 4,950$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.03 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 54c | 4,804$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cubs | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 35c | 4,329$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Reds | 8c | 2,362$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.24 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 45c | 1,851$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cubs | 56c | 1,790$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.45 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cubs | 55c | 1,707$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.78 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 56c | 1,693$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.1 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 46c | 1,620$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 34c | 1,550$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Cubs | 55c | 1,319$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.93 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Reds | 6c | 1,108$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Cubs | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Reds | 47c | 1,081$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.26 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cubs | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 55c | 995.12$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.8 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Reds | 43c | 951$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Reds | 45c | 950$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 43c | 949$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.46 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 46c | 875.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Reds | 45c | 650$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 43c | 612$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cubs | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Reds | 9c | 589.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Reds | 43c | 533.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Cubs | 55c | 488$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cubs | 56c | 471.65$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 4c | 455.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Reds | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 55c | 429.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…add1backed Cubs | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Reds | 46c | 417.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Reds | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 40c | 404.57$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Reds | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Reds | 47c | 399.66$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Reds | 42c | 388.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 44c | 344.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 58c | 343.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Reds | 46c | 340.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 40c | 320$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Reds | 46c | 318.93$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Reds | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Reds | 45c | 285$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Reds | 44c | 285$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Reds | 44c | 280$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Reds | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Reds | 38c | 251.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Reds | 44c | 250.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Reds | 36c | 249.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Reds | 45c | 244.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 55c | 236$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 43c | 221.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 54c | 207.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Cubs | 56c | 205.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Reds | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Reds | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.