WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70ddaef55343749a7ff99e502d909b219b059195032db0f2c0ccbe6d112bfff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Valkyries, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Valkyries | 51c | 5,248$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.79 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sky | 58c | 3,811$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.9 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Sky | 40c | 800$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Valkyries | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Valkyries | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Valkyries | 63c | 349$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 67c | 323$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Valkyries | 45c | 319.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Valkyries | 50c | 268$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sky | 41c | 240.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Sky | 34c | 176.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Valkyries | 61c | 163.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 33c | 158.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Sky | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 68c | 146.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sky | 32c | 131.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Sky | 35c | 112.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Sky | 36c | 112.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Valkyries | 59c | 108$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sky | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Sky | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Sky | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Valkyries | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sky | 44c | 29.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Sky | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.