NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fda23e1a1c7476ece931a79f4a92fa2a4a41f8536c16e5abb02bd0fd317e622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Panthers, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Panthers | 38c | 7,261$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Jets | 62c | 7,000$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Panthers | 37c | 5,344$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.39 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Jets | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Jets | 62c | 2,160$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.4 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Panthers | 45c | 1,014$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.7 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jets | 52c | 958.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.14 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Panthers | 49c | 618.03$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.72 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Panthers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Jets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Jets | 63c | 447$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers | 44c | 346.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.51 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Panthers | 29c | 340$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed Panthers | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Panthers | 47c | 284.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Panthers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Jets | 63c | 222$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Panthers | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Jets | 59c | 181$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Jets | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Jets | 52c | 99.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Jets | 51c | 93.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…304cbacked Jets | 56c | 89.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…de75backed Panthers | 48c | 83.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…6628backed Jets | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Panthers | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…70adbacked Jets | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…df30backed Panthers | 48c | 36.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…b346backed Jets | 54c | 22.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…bc10backed Jets | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.