WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba0287f13fdb5baa937b5b68260da67414e98407540d1a4f85a83c7c9fc7ae41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercuryof Sun, Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sun | 12c | 5,118$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.8 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 11c | 4,366$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.47 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sun | 10c | 3,460$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.97 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sun | 10c | 2,672$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.98 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sun | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sun | 11c | 2,044$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Sun | 11c | 2,019$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sun | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Sun | 10c | 1,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 11c | 901.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sun | 8c | 744.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Sun | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sun | 9c | 399.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sun | 9c | 342$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Sun | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sun | 10c | 281.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sun | 10c | 232$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Sun | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Sun | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Sun | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sun | 9c | 134.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…dd9bbacked Sun | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sun | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.