WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs Sparks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b882c1b7cf1d0ddcb3f44b5c64857cb4f63fa3ba1771b9bd225a66f18866a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aces | 68c | 21,860$14,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.08 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Sparks | 25c | 16,116$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 44c | 12,386$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,409.25 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Aces | 56c | 8,436$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.92 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sparks | 22c | 5,962$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Sparks | 44c | 5,172$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sparks | 43c | 3,314$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.02 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Aces | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Aces | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 46c | 2,177$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.27 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 53c | 1,916$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.43 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aces | 56c | 1,593$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.73 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Sparks | 25c | 1,500$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Aces | 69c | 1,417$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.19 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Aces | 71c | 1,338$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Aces | 60c | 1,216$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.47 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sparks | 46c | 1,207$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.8 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 18c | 1,020$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sparks | 20c | 950$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Aces | 54c | 932.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Aces | 53c | 648.11$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sparks | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Aces | 53c | 566.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Sparks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sparks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sparks | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks | 43c | 261.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sparks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 47c | 212.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Aces | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Aces | 55c | 168.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sparks | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Aces | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aces | 58c | 105$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…09e4backed Sparks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Aces | 68c | 91.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Aces | 56c | 65.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Aces | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Aces | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Sparks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Sparks | 48c | 47.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Aces | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sparks | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sparks | 44c | 32.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Sparks | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Aces | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…9ca3backed Aces | 54c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Aces | 65c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.