NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6411ce19f9d29c5b4a7465a848b22a1fd638a8a8fe496f30ff10b6d0811248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Chargers, Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Chargers | 1c | 16,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Chargers | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Chargers | 58c | 6,444$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.14 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Chargers | 40c | 5,421$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.99 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rams | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Rams | 57c | 3,654$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.63 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Rams | 48c | 1,255$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.45 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Rams | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Rams | 48c | 438$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Rams | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Rams | 74c | 282.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Chargers | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Rams | 48c | 220.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Rams | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked Chargers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Rams | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Rams | 48c | 110.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c23…6e68backed Rams | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Rams | 48c | 85.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Rams | 37c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…6501backed Rams | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked Chargers | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…30e6backed Rams | 50c | 32.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…f2eebacked Rams | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.