NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50b55c2f36de0c195b944b569824f1e6239d8a16905c8e85dee272a7514e96ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Rams, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Rams | 26c | 13,940$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,338.81 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Cowboys | 65c | 11,201$7,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,290.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Rams | 40c | 9,693$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,859.44 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cowboys | 67c | 6,284$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.65 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Rams | 31c | 5,772$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.99 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked Rams | 2c | 5,622$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,509.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rams | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…5738backed Cowboys | 58c | 4,719$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Rams | 32c | 2,072$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Rams | 52c | 2,019$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.21 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…b3bebacked Cowboys | 72c | 1,132$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Cowboys | 63c | 1,058$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed Cowboys | 51c | 886.81$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Cowboys | 67c | 684.95$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…857abacked Rams | 34c | 647.42$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…b018backed Rams | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Cowboys | 68c | 620$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Rams | 34c | 600$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Rams | 33c | 555$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.85 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…2663backed Cowboys | 68c | 480.88$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Cowboys | 63c | 473.14$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…f10ebacked Rams | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…8fc2backed Rams | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Rams | 33c | 222$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Rams | 39c | 216.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Rams | 38c | 215$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Cowboys | 67c | 196.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…304cbacked Rams | 33c | 186.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Rams | 34c | 160$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked Cowboys | 57c | 149.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Cowboys | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Cowboys | 68c | 108.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Rams | 36c | 102$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Rams | 23c | 100.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Rams | 17c | 98.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Rams | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Rams | 34c | 74.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…31edbacked Cowboys | 67c | 74.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Cowboys | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…33cbbacked Cowboys | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…1304backed Cowboys | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Rams | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…6501backed Rams | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…06efbacked Cowboys | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cowboys | 67c | 28.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…1605backed Cowboys | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.