WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x432304af408151bf9e5da60bf8726a96b338b8b9a9ebd290a1228b6c4316f7bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Wings, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9716…378abacked Wings | 17c | 10,659$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.16 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 20c | 3,041$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.25 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wings | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wings | 18c | 1,226$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Wings | 18c | 1,096$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Wings | 18c | 1,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Wings | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Liberty | 20c | 833.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Liberty | 79c | 799.98$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty | 80c | 722.63$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.53 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wings | 13c | 614.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Wings | 14c | 602$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 19c | 529$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 20c | 500.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Wings | 17c | 477.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Liberty | 22c | 346.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Liberty | 20c | 332.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 17c | 330$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Liberty | 20c | 241.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Liberty | 20c | 223.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…dd9bbacked Wings | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Liberty | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 17c | 194$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Liberty | 20c | 167.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Liberty | 20c | 160.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Liberty | 20c | 147.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Liberty | 20c | 144.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wings | 14c | 119.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wings | 22c | 109.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wings | 18c | 106$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty | 79c | 59.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Wings | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…27b0backed Liberty | 80c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.