WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ca3d3abc57f155cccf8896c59baf08db853a5c7b440f23913fe29c4c227b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Storm, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 39c | 3,550$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Storm | 61c | 2,603$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.83 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mystics | 37c | 1,415$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.68 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 63c | 1,412$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.87 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Storm | 69c | 1,064$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.55 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Storm | 61c | 783$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.63 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mystics | 33c | 540$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.34 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Storm | 44c | 497.25$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mystics | 46c | 445.25$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mystics | 53c | 407.79$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.12 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Storm | 14c | 390$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…22abbacked Mystics | 40c | 339.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +112%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Storm | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Storm | 62c | 111.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Storm | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…09e4backed Mystics | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mystics | 37c | 53.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mystics | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Mystics | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mystics | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.